Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.31
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 43.2%, draw 24.7%, Eibar Iii 32.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
58BuildingDurango
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
59BuildingEibar Iii
Durango
3W · 5D · 1LRecent →DWWDDWDLD
Momentum index
Eibar Iii
4W · 2D · 3LRecent →WWWLLLWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Durango
14 pts33% wins
3W · 5D · 1L · 9 played
For14
Against11
Eibar Iii
14 pts44% wins
4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played
For16
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango's attack (44%) vs Eibar Iii's defense (42%).
+2 - Eibar Iii offensive edge
Eibar Iii runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Durango25%
2Draws
1Eibar Iii25%