Goal expectancy
1.86Expected goals1.11
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Aalborg
Estimated win chances: Aalborg 54.9%, draw 22.6%, Hb Koge 22.5%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
41MixedAalborg
Weighted momentum
Aalborg carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).
22Cold spellHb Koge
Hb Koge · High-risk / fragile
Aalborg
11W · 8D · 12LRecent →LWWLLDWLLLDWDLLWWDWLDLLLWDWDWWD
Momentum index
Hb Koge
4W · 6D · 21LRecent →LLLWLLDLLWDWLDLDLLDLLDLLLWLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAalborg +23
Aalborg
41 pts35% wins
11W · 8D · 12L · 31 played
For41
Against43
Hb Koge
18 pts13% wins
4W · 6D · 21L · 31 played
For31
Against69
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aalborg offensive edge
Aalborg faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Hb Koge offensive edge
Hb Koge runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Hb KogeHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Aalborg0%
1Draws
0Hb Koge0%