Aarhus 2-1 Lyngby Prediction

AarhusAarhus
2 — 1FT
LyngbyLyngby

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Aarhus

Estimated win chances: Aarhus 53.1%, draw 24.3%, Lyngby 22.6%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals1.00

From 28 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–011.9%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–010%
  • 2–110%
  • 0–07.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedAarhus
Weighted momentum

Aarhus carries the sharper recent run (+16 momentum).

27Cold spellLyngby
Lyngby · High-risk / fragile

Aarhus

9W · 12D · 7L
Recent →LWDDLLWLDDDWLDWDDDWWWWDDLDLW
Momentum index

Lyngby

6W · 4D · 18L
Recent →LLLDWLLWLWLLDLWDLLWLLLLDLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAarhus +17

Aarhus

39 pts
32% wins

9W · 12D · 7L · 28 played

For
36
Against
32
Goal diff +4

Lyngby

22 pts
21% wins

6W · 4D · 18L · 28 played

For
27
Against
50
Goal diff -23

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aarhus offensive edge

    Aarhus's attack (58%) vs Lyngby's defense (47%).

    +11
  • Lyngby offensive edge

    Lyngby runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -11

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aarhus58
Lyngby42

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aarhus53
Lyngby47

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aarhus43
Lyngby27

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aarhus72
Lyngby28

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aarhus30
Lyngby37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aarhus56
Lyngby44

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aarhus80
Lyngby20
LyngbyHigh-risk / fragile