Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.19
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Aarhus
Estimated win chances: Aarhus 45.1%, draw 25.3%, Silkeborg 29.6%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellAarhus
Weighted momentum
Aarhus carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
27Cold spellSilkeborg
Aarhus · cold formSilkeborg · cold form
Aarhus
9W · 11D · 9LRecent →LLLLDLDWWDLDWDWDWWDLDLDWDDWLW
Momentum index
Silkeborg
9W · 5D · 15LRecent →LLWLLDDLLLLLLLDLDWWLWWWWWDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAarhus +6
Aarhus
38 pts31% wins
9W · 11D · 9L · 29 played
For36
Against41
Silkeborg
32 pts31% wins
9W · 5D · 15L · 29 played
For35
Against45
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aarhus offensive edge
Aarhus's attack (67%) vs Silkeborg's defense (63%).
+4 - Silkeborg offensive edge
Silkeborg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Aarhuscold form
Silkeborgcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Aarhus20%
3Draws
1Silkeborg20%