Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.55
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Cuiaba
Estimated win chances: Academia 31%, draw 24.9%, Cuiaba 44.1%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellAcademia
Weighted momentum
Cuiaba arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
76Hot streakCuiaba
Academia · cold formCuiaba · compact defense · hot form
Academia
2W · 0D · 5LRecent →LWWLLLL
Momentum index
Cuiaba
4W · 3D · 0LRecent →WDWWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuiaba +9
Academia
6 pts29% wins
2W · 0D · 5L · 7 played
For8
Against11
Cuiaba
15 pts57% wins
4W · 3D · 0L · 7 played
For16
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Academia offensive edge
Academia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-38 - Cuiaba offensive edge
Cuiaba's attack (65%) vs Academia's defense (27%).
+38
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Academiacold form
Cuiabacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Academia50%
0Draws
1Cuiaba50%