Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.81
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Puch
Estimated win chances: Adnet 30.8%, draw 22.8%, Puch 46.4%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
2Cold spellAdnet
Weighted momentum
Puch arrives with stronger form weighting (+30 momentum).
32Cold spellPuch
Adnet · High-risk / fragilePuch · High-risk / fragile
Adnet
1W · 0D · 14LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLLW
Momentum index
Puch
5W · 2D · 8LRecent →LLLLWDLWWDLLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPuch +14
Adnet
3 pts7% wins
1W · 0D · 14L · 15 played
For7
Against44
Puch
17 pts33% wins
5W · 2D · 8L · 15 played
For22
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Adnet offensive edge
Adnet faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Puch offensive edge
Puch's attack (80%) vs Adnet's defense (53%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AdnetHigh-risk / fragile
PuchHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Adnet38%
0Draws
5Puch63%