Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.26
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Adriese
Estimated win chances: Adriese 39.7%, draw 26.1%, Este 34.2%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
30Cold spellAdriese
Weighted momentum
Este arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).
50MixedEste
Adriese · cold form
Adriese
2W · 4D · 4LRecent →DLDLDDWLWL
Momentum index
Este
4W · 3D · 3LRecent →WLDLWWLWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEste +5
Adriese
10 pts20% wins
2W · 4D · 4L · 10 played
For12
Against12
Este
15 pts40% wins
4W · 3D · 3L · 10 played
For16
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Adriese offensive edge
Adriese faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Este offensive edge
Este's attack (64%) vs Adriese's defense (50%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Adriesecold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Adriese33%
2Draws
0Este0%