Goal expectancy
1.03Expected goals1.34
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Este
Estimated win chances: Adriese 28.7%, draw 27.4%, Este 43.8%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellAdriese
Weighted momentum
Este arrives with stronger form weighting (+30 momentum).
50MixedEste
Adriese · High-risk / fragileEste · compact defense
Adriese
4W · 5D · 15LRecent →LLLDLLLWLLDLLWWLLWLDLLDD
Momentum index
Este
9W · 11D · 4LRecent →DDLDWWWDLLWLWDDWWDDDDWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEste +21
Adriese
17 pts17% wins
4W · 5D · 15L · 24 played
For18
Against43
Este
38 pts38% wins
9W · 11D · 4L · 24 played
For29
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Adriese offensive edge
Adriese faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-83 - Este offensive edge
Este's attack (100%) vs Adriese's defense (17%).
+83
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AdrieseHigh-risk / fragile
Estecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Adriese33%
5Draws
1Este11%