AEA 3-1 Taquaritinga Prediction

AEAAEA
3 — 1FT
TaquaritingaTaquaritinga

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Aea 34%, draw 29.5%, Taquaritinga 36.5%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.05Expected goals1.10

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 0–112.9%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 1–27.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

51MixedAea
Weighted momentum

Taquaritinga arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).

66BuildingTaquaritinga
Aea · Structured / conservativeTaquaritinga · compact defense · hot form

Aea

6W · 3D · 4L
Recent →WDWLLWDLDLWWW
Momentum index

Taquaritinga

7W · 3D · 3L
Recent →DWWWLDWWLWWDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapTaquaritinga +3

Aea

21 pts
46% wins

6W · 3D · 4L · 13 played

For
10
Against
12
Goal diff -2

Taquaritinga

24 pts
54% wins

7W · 3D · 3L · 13 played

For
18
Against
11
Goal diff +7

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aea offensive edge

    Aea faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -30
  • Taquaritinga offensive edge

    Taquaritinga's attack (67%) vs Aea's defense (38%).

    +29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aea33
Taquaritinga67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aea38
Taquaritinga63

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aea51
Taquaritinga66

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aea-10
Taquaritinga108

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aea30
Taquaritinga30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aea41
Taquaritinga59

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aea0
Taquaritinga0
AeaStructured / conservative
Taquaritingacompact defense · hot form