Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.01
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
AEP Polemidion 1-0 Ormideia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Aep Polemidion
Estimated win chances: Aep Polemidion 42%, draw 28.3%, Ormideia 29.7%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedAep Polemidion
Weighted momentum
Aep Polemidion carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).
36Cold spellOrmideia
Aep Polemidion · low scoringOrmideia · low scoring · cold form
Aep Polemidion
6W · 7D · 8LRecent →DWWLWDWLLDDLDLDDLWLLW
Momentum index
Ormideia
6W · 7D · 8LRecent →LLDLDWDLWDLWDLDWWWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Aep Polemidion
25 pts29% wins
6W · 7D · 8L · 21 played
For21
Against26
Ormideia
25 pts29% wins
6W · 7D · 8L · 21 played
For19
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aep Polemidion offensive edge
Aep Polemidion's attack (79%) vs Ormideia's defense (33%).
+46 - Ormideia offensive edge
Ormideia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-46
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Aep Polemidionlow scoring
Ormideialow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Aep Polemidion33%
1Draws
1Ormideia33%