AFAD 1-1 SOA Prediction

AFADAFAD
1 — 1FT
SOASOA

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Afad 36.6%, draw 29.9%, Soa 33.5%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.08Expected goals1.02

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–013.3%
  • 0–112.6%
  • 0–012.4%
  • 2–17.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

23Cold spellAfad
Weighted momentum

Soa arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).

43MixedSoa
Afad · low scoring · cold formSoa · Structured / conservative

Afad

1W · 4D · 5L
Recent →DLDLLDWDLL
Momentum index

Soa

3W · 3D · 4L
Recent →DDLWWDLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSoa +5

Afad

7 pts
10% wins

1W · 4D · 5L · 10 played

For
7
Against
12
Goal diff -5

Soa

12 pts
30% wins

3W · 3D · 4L · 10 played

For
8
Against
9
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Afad offensive edge

    Afad faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -57
  • Soa offensive edge

    Soa's attack (100%) vs Afad's defense (43%).

    +57

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Afad0
Soa100

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Afad43
Soa57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Afad23
Soa43

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Afad-64
Soa164

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Afad30
Soa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Afad20
Soa80

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Afad25
Soa75
Afadlow scoring · cold form
SoaStructured / conservative

H2H in this snapshot

From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

1Afad25%
3Draws
0Soa0%

Recent meetings