Agama 1-0 Triangle United Prediction

AgamaAgama
1 — 0FT
Triangle UnitedTriangle United

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Agama

Estimated win chances: Agama 40.4%, draw 29.4%, Triangle United 30.2%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.17Expected goals0.97

From 21 and 21 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.9%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 2–08.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

31Cold spellAgama
Weighted momentum

Agama carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).

16Cold spellTriangle United
Agama · low scoring · cold formTriangle United · low scoring · cold form

Agama

3W · 7D · 11L
Recent →LWLDLDWDWLLDDDLLLDLLL
Momentum index

Triangle United

2W · 5D · 14L
Recent →LDLDLLDLLDLLLWDLWLLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAgama +5

Agama

16 pts
14% wins

3W · 7D · 11L · 21 played

For
13
Against
29
Goal diff -16

Triangle United

11 pts
10% wins

2W · 5D · 14L · 21 played

For
13
Against
29
Goal diff -16

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Agama offensive edge

    Agama faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -24
  • Triangle United offensive edge

    Triangle United's attack (80%) vs Agama's defense (56%).

    +24

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Agama20
Triangle United80

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Agama56
Triangle United44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Agama31
Triangle United16

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Agama2
Triangle United98

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Agama30
Triangle United30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Agama67
Triangle United33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Agama0
Triangle United100
Agamalow scoring · cold form
Triangle Unitedlow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Agama100%
0Draws
0Triangle United0%

Recent meetings