Ahal 4-0 Nebitci Prediction

AhalAhal
4 — 0FT
NebitciNebitci
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AhalAhalvsNebitciNebitci

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ahal

Estimated win chances: Ahal 57.8%, draw 21.8%, Nebitci 20.4%. From 13 and 12 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.95Expected goals1.07

From 13 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–110.5%
  • 1–010%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 3–16.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

49MixedAhal
Weighted momentum

Ahal carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

30Cold spellNebitci
Nebitci · High-risk / fragile

Ahal

7W · 1D · 5L
Recent →DLLWWLWWLLWWW
Momentum index

Nebitci

4W · 0D · 8L
Recent →LLLLWWWLLLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Ahal

22 pts
54% wins

7W · 1D · 5L · 13 played

For
23
Against
17
Goal diff +6

Nebitci

12 pts
33% wins

4W · 0D · 8L · 12 played

For
11
Against
25
Goal diff -14

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ahal offensive edge

    Ahal's attack (62%) vs Nebitci's defense (36%).

    +26
  • Nebitci offensive edge

    Nebitci runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -26

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ahal62
Nebitci38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ahal64
Nebitci36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ahal49
Nebitci30

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ahal102
Nebitci-2

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ahal30
Nebitci43

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ahal70
Nebitci30

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ahal71
Nebitci29
NebitciHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Ahal0%
0Draws
1Nebitci100%

Recent meetings

Nebitci
0 – 1FT
Ahal

Ýokary LigaRound 6