Aimoré 0-1 Bagé Prediction

AimoréAimoré
0 — 1FT
BagéBagé
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AimoréAimorévsBagéBagé

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Aimoré

Estimated win chances: Aimoré 45.2%, draw 27.7%, Bagé 27.1%. From 5 and 6 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals0.97

From 5 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–010.1%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 2–09%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

57BuildingAimoré
Weighted momentum

Aimoré carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).

34Cold spellBagé
Aimoré · compact defenseBagé · low scoring · cold form

Aimoré

2W · 2D · 1L
Recent →WLWDD
Momentum index

Bagé

2W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LWLLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Aimoré

8 pts
40% wins

2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played

For
6
Against
4
Goal diff +2

Bagé

7 pts
33% wins

2W · 1D · 3L · 6 played

For
5
Against
6
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aimoré offensive edge

    Aimoré's attack (67%) vs Bagé's defense (40%).

    +27
  • Bagé offensive edge

    Bagé runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -27

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aimoré67
Bagé33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aimoré60
Bagé40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aimoré57
Bagé34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aimoré104
Bagé-4

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aimoré30
Bagé30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aimoré67
Bagé33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aimoré0
Bagé0
Aimorécompact defense
Bagélow scoring · cold form