Goal expectancy
1.15Expected goals1.16
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Akragas 2-2 Locri 1909 Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Akragas 35.6%, draw 28.3%, Locri 1909 36.1%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
19Cold spellAkragas
Weighted momentum
Locri 1909 arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
35Cold spellLocri 1909
Akragas · low scoring · cold formLocri 1909 · cold form
Akragas
2W · 4D · 11LRecent →LLLWLLDDLDLDLWLLL
Momentum index
Locri 1909
6W · 2D · 9LRecent →LWLDWLLLLDWWLLLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLocri 1909 +10
Akragas
10 pts12% wins
2W · 4D · 11L · 17 played
For8
Against24
Locri 1909
20 pts35% wins
6W · 2D · 9L · 17 played
For18
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Akragas offensive edge
Akragas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-36 - Locri 1909 offensive edge
Locri 1909's attack (83%) vs Akragas's defense (47%).
+36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Akragaslow scoring · cold form
Locri 1909cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Akragas100%
0Draws
0Locri 19090%