Goal expectancy
2.12Expected goals0.92
From 5 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Al-nahda
Estimated win chances: Al-nahda 64.9%, draw 19.8%, Al-rustaq 15.3%. From 5 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
89Hot streakAl-nahda
Weighted momentum
Al-nahda carries the sharper recent run (+89 momentum).
0Cold spellAl-rustaq
Al-nahda · compact defense · hot formAl-rustaq · High-risk / fragile
Al-nahda
4W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWDW
Momentum index
Al-rustaq
0W · 0D · 6LRecent →LLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Al-nahda
13 pts80% wins
4W · 1D · 0L · 5 played
For11
Against2
Al-rustaq
0 pts0% wins
0W · 0D · 6L · 6 played
For6
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Al-nahda offensive edge
Al-nahda's attack (73%) vs Al-rustaq's defense (14%).
+59 - Al-rustaq offensive edge
Al-rustaq runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-59
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Al-nahdacompact defense · hot form
Al-rustaqHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Al-nahda25%
6Draws
0Al-rustaq0%