Goal expectancy
0.97Expected goals1.41
From 19 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Al-nahda
Estimated win chances: Al-rustaq 25.9%, draw 27%, Al-nahda 47.1%. From 19 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
16Cold spellAl-rustaq
Weighted momentum
Al-nahda arrives with stronger form weighting (+31 momentum).
47MixedAl-nahda
Al-rustaq · High-risk / fragileAl-nahda · compact defense
Al-rustaq
1W · 4D · 14LRecent →DDLLDLLLWLLDLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Al-nahda
9W · 4D · 5LRecent →DDDLWLWLLLWWWWWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Al-rustaq
7 pts5% wins
1W · 4D · 14L · 19 played
For16
Against37
Al-nahda
31 pts50% wins
9W · 4D · 5L · 18 played
For23
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Al-rustaq offensive edge
Al-rustaq faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Al-nahda offensive edge
Al-nahda's attack (33%) vs Al-rustaq's defense (25%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Al-rustaqHigh-risk / fragile
Al-nahdacompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Al-rustaq33%
6Draws
0Al-nahda0%