Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.54
From 9 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Al-shabab
Estimated win chances: Al-rustaq 28.1%, draw 25.3%, Al-shabab 46.5%. From 9 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
5Cold spellAl-rustaq
Weighted momentum
Al-shabab arrives with stronger form weighting (+72 momentum).
77Hot streakAl-shabab
Al-rustaq · High-risk / fragileAl-shabab · hot form
Al-rustaq
0W · 1D · 8LRecent →LDLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Al-shabab
6W · 0D · 2LRecent →WWWLWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Al-rustaq
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 8L · 9 played
For6
Against18
Al-shabab
18 pts75% wins
6W · 0D · 2L · 8 played
For14
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Al-rustaq offensive edge
Al-rustaq faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-45 - Al-shabab offensive edge
Al-shabab's attack (85%) vs Al-rustaq's defense (40%).
+45
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Al-rustaqHigh-risk / fragile
Al-shababhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Al-rustaq38%
2Draws
3Al-shabab38%