Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.37
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Al-rustaq 35.7%, draw 25.9%, Sur 38.4%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
14Cold spellAl-rustaq
Weighted momentum
Sur arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
33Cold spellSur
Al-rustaq · High-risk / fragileSur · cold form
Al-rustaq
1W · 3D · 14LRecent →DLLDLLLWLLDLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Sur
3W · 6D · 9LRecent →DDDWLDDWLLLLWLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSur +9
Al-rustaq
6 pts6% wins
1W · 3D · 14L · 18 played
For15
Against36
Sur
15 pts17% wins
3W · 6D · 9L · 18 played
For19
Against27
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Al-rustaq offensive edge
Al-rustaq faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Sur offensive edge
Sur's attack (38%) vs Al-rustaq's defense (23%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Al-rustaqHigh-risk / fragile
Surcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Al-rustaq22%
3Draws
4Sur44%