Al Shorta 1-1 Newroz Prediction

Al ShortaAl Shorta
1 — 1FT
NewrozNewroz

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Al Shorta

Estimated win chances: Al Shorta 38.8%, draw 30.9%, Newroz 30.3%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.07Expected goals0.91

From 11 and 11 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.9%
  • 0–013.9%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 2–08%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

64BuildingAl Shorta
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

66BuildingNewroz
Al Shorta · compact defenseNewroz · compact defense · hot form

Al Shorta

5W · 5D · 1L
Recent →WDDWDWDWWLD
Momentum index

Newroz

5W · 4D · 2L
Recent →DWWDWWWDLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAl Shorta +1

Al Shorta

20 pts
45% wins

5W · 5D · 1L · 11 played

For
12
Against
5
Goal diff +7

Newroz

19 pts
45% wins

5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played

For
13
Against
5
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Al Shorta offensive edge

    Al Shorta faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -50
  • Newroz offensive edge

    Newroz's attack (50%) vs Al Shorta's defense (0%).

    +50

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Al Shorta50
Newroz50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Al Shorta0
Newroz100

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Al Shorta64
Newroz66

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Al Shorta-50
Newroz150

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Al Shorta30
Newroz30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Al Shorta45
Newroz55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Al Shorta0
Newroz0
Al Shortacompact defense
Newrozcompact defense · hot form