Goal expectancy
1.07Expected goals0.91
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Al Shorta 38.8%, draw 30.9%, Newroz 30.3%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageySportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.07Expected goals0.91
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
5W · 5D · 1L · 11 played
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Al Shorta faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-50Newroz's attack (50%) vs Al Shorta's defense (0%).
+50Comparison indices from the match data partner.