Alaior 1-3 Constància Prediction

AlaiorAlaior
1 — 3FT
ConstànciaConstància
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AlaiorAlaiorvsConstànciaConstància

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Alaior 33.9%, draw 28.7%, Constància 37.4%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.09Expected goals1.16

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112.4%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–010.7%
  • 1–27.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

46MixedAlaior
Weighted momentum

Constància arrives with stronger form weighting (+13 momentum).

59BuildingConstància
Alaior · low scoringConstància · compact defense

Alaior

5W · 2D · 6L
Recent →LWWWDLLLLDWWL
Momentum index

Constància

6W · 2D · 5L
Recent →WDLWWWLWDWLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapConstància +3

Alaior

17 pts
38% wins

5W · 2D · 6L · 13 played

For
12
Against
17
Goal diff -5

Constància

20 pts
46% wins

6W · 2D · 5L · 13 played

For
15
Against
10
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Alaior offensive edge

    Alaior faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -6
  • Constància offensive edge

    Constància's attack (50%) vs Alaior's defense (44%).

    +6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Alaior50
Constància50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Alaior44
Constància56

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Alaior46
Constància59

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Alaior38
Constància62

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Alaior30
Constància30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Alaior50
Constància50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Alaior0
Constància0
Alaiorlow scoring
Constànciacompact defense