Goal expectancy
0.92Expected goals1.96
From 27 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Bra
Estimated win chances: Albenga 17%, draw 21.3%, Bra 61.6%. From 27 and 32 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
11Cold spellAlbenga
Weighted momentum
Bra arrives with stronger form weighting (+60 momentum).
71Hot streakBra
Albenga · High-risk / fragileBra · compact defense · hot form
Albenga
6W · 2D · 19LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLLDDWWWWLW
Momentum index
Bra
22W · 6D · 4LRecent →LDWDWLWWDWWWWWWDWWWLDWWWWLWWWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Albenga
20 pts22% wins
6W · 2D · 19L · 27 played
For24
Against70
Bra
72 pts69% wins
22W · 6D · 4L · 32 played
For65
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Albenga offensive edge
Albenga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-52 - Bra offensive edge
Bra's attack (75%) vs Albenga's defense (23%).
+52
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AlbengaHigh-risk / fragile
Bracompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Albenga67%
0Draws
1Bra33%