Goal expectancy
1.16Expected goals1.68
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Vado
Estimated win chances: Albenga 26.3%, draw 24.1%, Vado 49.5%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
12Cold spellAlbenga
Weighted momentum
Vado arrives with stronger form weighting (+56 momentum).
68Hot streakVado
Albenga · High-risk / fragileVado · hot form
Albenga
6W · 2D · 18LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLLDDWWWWLW
Momentum index
Vado
15W · 6D · 5LRecent →WDLWLWDWWWWWWWDDWWDLWLWLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVado +31
Albenga
20 pts23% wins
6W · 2D · 18L · 26 played
For24
Against63
Vado
51 pts58% wins
15W · 6D · 5L · 26 played
For40
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Albenga offensive edge
Albenga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-36 - Vado offensive edge
Vado's attack (71%) vs Albenga's defense (35%).
+36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AlbengaHigh-risk / fragile
Vadohot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Albenga0%
3Draws
0Vado0%