Goal expectancy
1.18Expected goals1.30
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Albi 3-2 Marignane US Prediction
Balanced — model leans Marignane Us
Estimated win chances: Albi 33.6%, draw 27.1%, Marignane Us 39.3%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellAlbi
Weighted momentum
Marignane Us arrives with stronger form weighting (+56 momentum).
82Hot streakMarignane Us
Albi · low scoring · cold formMarignane Us · compact defense · hot form
Albi
1W · 2D · 2LRecent →LDDLW
Momentum index
Marignane Us
3W · 2D · 0LRecent →WWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMarignane Us +6
Albi
5 pts20% wins
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
For4
Against6
Marignane Us
11 pts60% wins
3W · 2D · 0L · 5 played
For9
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Albi offensive edge
Albi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-29 - Marignane Us offensive edge
Marignane Us's attack (69%) vs Albi's defense (40%).
+29
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Albilow scoring · cold form
Marignane Uscompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Albi50%
1Draws
0Marignane Us0%