Goal expectancy
1.33Expected goals1.10
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Albinoleffe 3-2 Pergolettese Prediction
Balanced — model leans Albinoleffe
Estimated win chances: Albinoleffe 41.9%, draw 27.2%, Pergolettese 30.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedAlbinoleffe
Weighted momentum
Pergolettese arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
63BuildingPergolettese
Pergolettese · Structured / conservative
Albinoleffe
3W · 5D · 3LRecent →DDLWDWLDLDW
Momentum index
Pergolettese
4W · 5D · 2LRecent →WWWDDDDWDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPergolettese +3
Albinoleffe
14 pts27% wins
3W · 5D · 3L · 11 played
For16
Against15
Pergolettese
17 pts36% wins
4W · 5D · 2L · 11 played
For10
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Albinoleffe offensive edge
Albinoleffe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Pergolettese offensive edge
Pergolettese's attack (56%) vs Albinoleffe's defense (46%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
PergoletteseStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Albinoleffe60%
3Draws
1Pergolettese10%