Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.11
From 36 and 36 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Alcorcon 39.2%, draw 27.9%, Eldense 32.9%. From 36 and 36 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.24Expected goals1.11
From 36 and 36 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
10W · 10D · 16L · 36 played
10W · 12D · 14L · 36 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Alcorcon's attack (67%) vs Eldense's defense (21%).
+46Eldense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-46Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.