Goal expectancy
1.60Expected goals1.55
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Allerød 39.3%, draw 23.6%, Herlev 37.1%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedAllerød
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
47MixedHerlev
Allerød · leaky defense
Allerød
4W · 3D · 5LRecent →LLDWWWLWLDLD
Momentum index
Herlev
4W · 3D · 5LRecent →LDWWWLWLLDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Allerød
15 pts33% wins
4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played
For19
Against24
Herlev
15 pts33% wins
4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played
For20
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Allerød offensive edge
Allerød faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42 - Herlev offensive edge
Herlev's attack (53%) vs Allerød's defense (11%).
+42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Allerødleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Allerød60%
0Draws
2Herlev40%