Goal expectancy
0.93Expected goals0.87
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Almudévar 35.2%, draw 32.9%, Cuarte 31.9%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoLow
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellAlmudévar
Weighted momentum
Cuarte arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
45MixedCuarte
Almudévar · Structured / conservativeCuarte · Structured / conservative
Almudévar
3W · 4D · 6LRecent →DDLLLLLWWDWDL
Momentum index
Cuarte
5W · 4D · 4LRecent →LLWLWDWLWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +6
Almudévar
13 pts23% wins
3W · 4D · 6L · 13 played
For7
Against10
Cuarte
19 pts38% wins
5W · 4D · 4L · 13 played
For10
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Almudévar offensive edge
Almudévar faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-36 - Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte's attack (100%) vs Almudévar's defense (64%).
+36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AlmudévarStructured / conservative
CuarteStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Almudévar33%
2Draws
2Cuarte33%