Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.59
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Koper
Estimated win chances: Aluminij 32.5%, draw 24.4%, Koper 43.1%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellAluminij
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
37Cold spellKoper
Aluminij · High-risk / fragileKoper · cold form
Aluminij
5W · 3D · 12LRecent →LWLLWDLDLLWWLLLLLWLD
Momentum index
Koper
8W · 6D · 6LRecent →LLLDLLWDDWDDWDWWWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKoper +12
Aluminij
18 pts25% wins
5W · 3D · 12L · 20 played
For21
Against41
Koper
30 pts40% wins
8W · 6D · 6L · 20 played
For31
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aluminij offensive edge
Aluminij faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Koper offensive edge
Koper's attack (58%) vs Aluminij's defense (43%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AluminijHigh-risk / fragile
Kopercold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Aluminij100%
0Draws
0Koper0%