Amazonas 1-0 Anápolis Prediction

AmazonasAmazonas
1 — 0FT
AnápolisAnápolis

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Amazonas

Estimated win chances: Amazonas 47%, draw 26.4%, Anápolis 26.6%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.45Expected goals1.02

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.5%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–18.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

32Cold spellAmazonas
Weighted momentum

Amazonas carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).

20Cold spellAnápolis
Amazonas · cold formAnápolis · low scoring · cold form

Amazonas

4W · 1D · 4L
Recent →LLLLDWWWW
Momentum index

Anápolis

1W · 2D · 6L
Recent →DLDLLWLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAmazonas +8

Amazonas

13 pts
44% wins

4W · 1D · 4L · 9 played

For
11
Against
12
Goal diff -1

Anápolis

5 pts
11% wins

1W · 2D · 6L · 9 played

For
6
Against
13
Goal diff -7

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Amazonas offensive edge

    Amazonas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -4
  • Anápolis offensive edge

    Anápolis's attack (33%) vs Amazonas's defense (29%).

    +4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Amazonas67
Anápolis33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Amazonas29
Anápolis71

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Amazonas32
Anápolis20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Amazonas42
Anápolis58

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Amazonas30
Anápolis30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Amazonas33
Anápolis67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Amazonas0
Anápolis0
Amazonascold form
Anápolislow scoring · cold form