Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.53
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Vila Nova
Estimated win chances: Anápolis 34.3%, draw 24.7%, Vila Nova 41%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingAnápolis
Weighted momentum
Vila Nova arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
69Hot streakVila Nova
Vila Nova · hot form
Anápolis
3W · 2D · 3LRecent →WDLWWLDL
Momentum index
Vila Nova
6W · 0D · 2LRecent →WLWLWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVila Nova +7
Anápolis
11 pts38% wins
3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played
For11
Against12
Vila Nova
18 pts75% wins
6W · 0D · 2L · 8 played
For18
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Anápolis offensive edge
Anápolis faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Vila Nova offensive edge
Vila Nova's attack (53%) vs Anápolis's defense (40%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vila Novahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Anápolis38%
3Draws
2Vila Nova25%