Anderlecht 1-3 Genk Prediction

AnderlechtAnderlecht
1 — 3FT
GenkGenk
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Updated

AnderlechtAnderlechtvsGenkGenk

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Anderlecht

Estimated win chances: Anderlecht 51.2%, draw 23%, Genk 25.8%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.82Expected goals1.23

From 33 and 33 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–110.1%
  • 1–09%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 1–26.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

72Hot streakAnderlecht
Weighted momentum

Anderlecht carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).

54BuildingGenk
Anderlecht · compact defense · hot form

Anderlecht

21W · 9D · 3L
Recent →WDDWDWDWWWDWWWDWLDWWLWWWWWWWDDWWL
Momentum index

Genk

15W · 7D · 11L
Recent →WWLWLLWWLLWLWDWDWLLWDWWLLDWWDLDDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAnderlecht +20

Anderlecht

72 pts
64% wins

21W · 9D · 3L · 33 played

For
66
Against
28
Goal diff +38

Genk

52 pts
45% wins

15W · 7D · 11L · 33 played

For
64
Against
46
Goal diff +18

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Anderlecht offensive edge

    Anderlecht's attack (50%) vs Genk's defense (45%).

    +5
  • Genk offensive edge

    Genk runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -5

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Anderlecht50
Genk50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Anderlecht55
Genk45

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Anderlecht72
Genk54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Anderlecht60
Genk40

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Anderlecht30
Genk30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Anderlecht50
Genk50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Anderlecht71
Genk29
Anderlechtcompact defense · hot form