Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.26
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Angers 39%, draw 26.3%, Lille 34.7%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedAngers
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
45MixedLille
Angers · low scoring
Angers
8W · 5D · 9LRecent →LWWDLLWWLWWLDWDLLLDDLW
Momentum index
Lille
10W · 4D · 8LRecent →DDLLLLWWWWLWLWWDLLWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLille +5
Angers
29 pts36% wins
8W · 5D · 9L · 22 played
For22
Against27
Lille
34 pts45% wins
10W · 4D · 8L · 22 played
For35
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Angers offensive edge
Angers's attack (67%) vs Lille's defense (44%).
+23 - Lille offensive edge
Lille runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Angerslow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Angers44%
2Draws
3Lille33%