Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals2.06
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Nismes
Estimated win chances: Anhée 28.7%, draw 21.3%, Nismes 50%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellAnhée
Weighted momentum
Nismes arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).
56BuildingNismes
Anhée · High-risk / fragile
Anhée
3W · 7D · 15LRecent →LLLDLWLLDDLDLWLLWDLDDLLLL
Momentum index
Nismes
12W · 4D · 9LRecent →WWDWLDLLWWLLWWWLWWWLDDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNismes +24
Anhée
16 pts12% wins
3W · 7D · 15L · 25 played
For36
Against71
Nismes
40 pts48% wins
12W · 4D · 9L · 25 played
For52
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Anhée offensive edge
Anhée faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-37 - Nismes offensive edge
Nismes's attack (60%) vs Anhée's defense (23%).
+37
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AnhéeHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Anhée67%
1Draws
0Nismes0%