Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals1.34
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Añorga 30.4%, draw 27.2%, Durango 42.4%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellAñorga
Weighted momentum
Durango arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
52BuildingDurango
Añorga · High-risk / fragileDurango · Structured / conservative
Añorga
5W · 3D · 12LRecent →LWLWWLWLLLDLDLWLLLLD
Momentum index
Durango
7W · 9D · 4LRecent →WDLDLWWWDWWLLDDDWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +12
Añorga
18 pts25% wins
5W · 3D · 12L · 20 played
For19
Against39
Durango
30 pts35% wins
7W · 9D · 4L · 20 played
For19
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Añorga offensive edge
Añorga's attack (63%) vs Durango's defense (53%).
+10 - Durango offensive edge
Durango runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AñorgaHigh-risk / fragile
DurangoStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Añorga67%
1Draws
0Durango0%