Añorga 2-1 Eibar III Prediction

AñorgaAñorga
2 — 1FT
Eibar IIIEibar III

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Añorga

Estimated win chances: Añorga 40.5%, draw 26%, Eibar Iii 33.5%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.40Expected goals1.25

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–19%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

4Cold spellAñorga
Weighted momentum

Eibar Iii arrives with stronger form weighting (+37 momentum).

41MixedEibar Iii
Añorga · low scoring · cold formEibar Iii · leaky defense

Añorga

0W · 1D · 4L
Recent →LLLLD
Momentum index

Eibar Iii

2W · 1D · 2L
Recent →DLWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapEibar Iii +6

Añorga

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 4L · 5 played

For
2
Against
8
Goal diff -6

Eibar Iii

7 pts
40% wins

2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played

For
6
Against
10
Goal diff -4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Añorga offensive edge

    Añorga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -19
  • Eibar Iii offensive edge

    Eibar Iii's attack (75%) vs Añorga's defense (56%).

    +19

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Añorga25
Eibar Iii75

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Añorga56
Eibar Iii44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Añorga4
Eibar Iii41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Añorga12
Eibar Iii88

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Añorga32
Eibar Iii41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Añorga13
Eibar Iii88

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Añorga0
Eibar Iii0
Añorgalow scoring · cold form
Eibar Iiileaky defense