APEA 1-3 Ermis Prediction

APEAAPEA
1 — 3FT
ErmisErmis
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ApeaApeavsErmisErmis

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Apea

Estimated win chances: Apea 45.7%, draw 26.9%, Ermis 27.4%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.40Expected goals1.02

From 15 and 15 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–19.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

61BuildingApea
Weighted momentum

Apea carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).

47MixedErmis
Ermis · compact defense

Apea

8W · 3D · 4L
Recent →WDLDWWWLWLWWWDL
Momentum index

Ermis

6W · 5D · 4L
Recent →DLWDLWDWDLWLWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapApea +4

Apea

27 pts
53% wins

8W · 3D · 4L · 15 played

For
25
Against
15
Goal diff +10

Ermis

23 pts
40% wins

6W · 5D · 4L · 15 played

For
16
Against
12
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Apea offensive edge

    Apea's attack (75%) vs Ermis's defense (60%).

    +15
  • Ermis offensive edge

    Ermis runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Apea75
Ermis25

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Apea40
Ermis60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Apea61
Ermis47

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Apea80
Ermis20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Apea30
Ermis30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Apea62
Ermis38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Apea100
Ermis0
Ermiscompact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Apea0%
0Draws
1Ermis100%

Recent meetings

Ermis
1 – 2FT
APEA

3. DivisionRound 4