Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.15
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Apea
Estimated win chances: Apea 38.9%, draw 27.5%, Ermis 33.6%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
70Hot streakApea
Weighted momentum
Ermis arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
78Hot streakErmis
Apea · compact defense · hot formErmis · compact defense · hot form
Apea
2W · 2D · 0LRecent →WDWD
Momentum index
Ermis
3W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapErmis +1
Apea
8 pts50% wins
2W · 2D · 0L · 4 played
For5
Against3
Ermis
9 pts75% wins
3W · 0D · 1L · 4 played
For6
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Apea offensive edge
Apea faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Ermis offensive edge
Ermis's attack (55%) vs Apea's defense (40%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Apeacompact defense · hot form
Ermiscompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Apea0%
0Draws
3Ermis100%