Goal expectancy
1.16Expected goals2.22
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Ararat II 0-6 Junior Sevan Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Junior Sevan
Estimated win chances: Ararat Ii 18.9%, draw 19.7%, Junior Sevan 61.4%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellArarat Ii
Weighted momentum
Junior Sevan arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
73Hot streakJunior Sevan
Ararat Ii · High-risk / fragileJunior Sevan · compact defense · hot form
Ararat Ii
6W · 6D · 15LRecent →LLWWDDWDLLLLLLWWLDLLDLLLWDL
Momentum index
Junior Sevan
20W · 5D · 2LRecent →WWLDDDDWWLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJunior Sevan +41
Ararat Ii
24 pts22% wins
6W · 6D · 15L · 27 played
For35
Against74
Junior Sevan
65 pts74% wins
20W · 5D · 2L · 27 played
For69
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ararat Ii offensive edge
Ararat Ii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-26 - Junior Sevan offensive edge
Junior Sevan's attack (50%) vs Ararat Ii's defense (24%).
+26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ararat IiHigh-risk / fragile
Junior Sevancompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ararat Ii50%
0Draws
1Junior Sevan50%