Araucária 6-6 Rio Branco PR Prediction

AraucáriaAraucária
6 — 6FT
Rio Branco PRRio Branco PR

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Araucária

Estimated win chances: Araucária 38.9%, draw 27.5%, Rio Branco Pr 33.6%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.26Expected goals1.15

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–18.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellAraucária
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

37Cold spellRio Branco Pr
Araucária · low scoring · cold formRio Branco Pr · compact defense · cold form

Araucária

1W · 2D · 1L
Recent →DDLW
Momentum index

Rio Branco Pr

1W · 2D · 1L
Recent →DDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Araucária

5 pts
25% wins

1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played

For
4
Against
4
Goal diff +0

Rio Branco Pr

5 pts
25% wins

1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played

For
5
Against
3
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Araucária offensive edge

    Araucária faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -13
  • Rio Branco Pr offensive edge

    Rio Branco Pr's attack (56%) vs Araucária's defense (43%).

    +13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Araucária44
Rio Branco Pr56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Araucária43
Rio Branco Pr57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Araucária37
Rio Branco Pr37

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Araucária24
Rio Branco Pr76

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Araucária30
Rio Branco Pr30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Araucária50
Rio Branco Pr50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Araucária0
Rio Branco Pr0
Araucárialow scoring · cold form
Rio Branco Prcompact defense · cold form