Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.11
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Ardagger
Estimated win chances: Ardagger 43.6%, draw 26.6%, Ortmann 29.8%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellArdagger
Weighted momentum
Ardagger carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).
11Cold spellOrtmann
Ardagger · Structured / conservativeOrtmann · High-risk / fragile
Ardagger
0W · 2D · 1LRecent →DDL
Momentum index
Ortmann
0W · 1D · 2LRecent →LDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapArdagger +1
Ardagger
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 1L · 3 played
For0
Against2
Ortmann
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
For4
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ardagger offensive edge
Ardagger faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-22 - Ortmann offensive edge
Ortmann's attack (100%) vs Ardagger's defense (78%).
+22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
ArdaggerStructured / conservative
OrtmannHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ardagger20%
4Draws
0Ortmann0%