Årdal 4-1 Frøya Prediction

ÅrdalÅrdal
4 — 1FT
FrøyaFrøya

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Årdal

Estimated win chances: Årdal 44.7%, draw 22%, Frøya 33.3%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityHigh
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.90Expected goals1.62

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–27.5%
  • 1–06%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

0Cold spellÅrdal
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

0Cold spellFrøya
Årdal · High-risk / fragileFrøya · High-risk / fragile

Årdal

0W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LLL
Momentum index

Frøya

0W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Årdal

0 pts
0% wins

0W · 0D · 3L · 3 played

For
6
Against
13
Goal diff -7

Frøya

0 pts
0% wins

0W · 0D · 3L · 3 played

For
2
Against
8
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Årdal offensive edge

    Årdal's attack (75%) vs Frøya's defense (62%).

    +13
  • Frøya offensive edge

    Frøya runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Årdal75
Frøya25

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Årdal38
Frøya62

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Årdal0
Frøya0

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Årdal76
Frøya24

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Årdal92
Frøya56

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Årdal0
Frøya0

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Årdal0
Frøya0
ÅrdalHigh-risk / fragile
FrøyaHigh-risk / fragile