Goal expectancy
1.55Expected goals0.99
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Ardoi
Estimated win chances: Ardoi 50.3%, draw 25.5%, Oberena 24.2%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedArdoi
Weighted momentum
Ardoi carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
33Cold spellOberena
Ardoi · low scoringOberena · High-risk / fragile
Ardoi
2W · 1D · 4LRecent →WWLLLDL
Momentum index
Oberena
2W · 0D · 5LRecent →WLLLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapArdoi +1
Ardoi
7 pts29% wins
2W · 1D · 4L · 7 played
For6
Against10
Oberena
6 pts29% wins
2W · 0D · 5L · 7 played
For3
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ardoi offensive edge
Ardoi's attack (57%) vs Oberena's defense (43%).
+14 - Oberena offensive edge
Oberena runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ardoilow scoring
OberenaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ardoi50%
0Draws
2Oberena50%