Ards 0-1 Strabane Athletic Prediction

ArdsArds
0 — 1FT
Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ArdsArdsvsStrabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ards

Estimated win chances: Ards 53.5%, draw 22.7%, Strabane Athletic 23.8%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.86Expected goals1.17

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111%
  • 2–110.3%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 1–26.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedArds
Weighted momentum

Ards carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).

20Cold spellStrabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic · High-risk / fragile

Ards

3W · 2D · 3L
Recent →DWLLLWDW
Momentum index

Strabane Athletic

1W · 2D · 5L
Recent →DDLLLLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapArds +6

Ards

11 pts
38% wins

3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played

For
11
Against
11
Goal diff +0

Strabane Athletic

5 pts
13% wins

1W · 2D · 5L · 8 played

For
9
Against
19
Goal diff -10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ards offensive edge

    Ards's attack (38%) vs Strabane Athletic's defense (35%).

    +3
  • Strabane Athletic offensive edge

    Strabane Athletic runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -2

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ards38
Strabane Athletic63

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ards65
Strabane Athletic35

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ards42
Strabane Athletic20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ards56
Strabane Athletic46

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ards30
Strabane Athletic50

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ards67
Strabane Athletic33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ards0
Strabane Athletic0
Strabane AthleticHigh-risk / fragile