Aretxabaleta 1-2 Durango Prediction

AretxabaletaAretxabaleta
1 — 2FT
DurangoDurango
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

AretxabaletaAretxabaletavsDurangoDurango

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Aretxabaleta

Estimated win chances: Aretxabaleta 46.6%, draw 25.1%, Durango 28.3%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.56Expected goals1.16

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–17.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

58BuildingAretxabaleta
Weighted momentum

Aretxabaleta carries the sharper recent run (+33 momentum).

25Cold spellDurango
Durango · cold form

Aretxabaleta

6W · 4D · 2L
Recent →WDDLDWWWLWWD
Momentum index

Durango

2W · 4D · 6L
Recent →WLLLLDDLLDDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAretxabaleta +12

Aretxabaleta

22 pts
50% wins

6W · 4D · 2L · 12 played

For
18
Against
12
Goal diff +6

Durango

10 pts
17% wins

2W · 4D · 6L · 12 played

For
18
Against
17
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aretxabaleta offensive edge

    Aretxabaleta faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -3
  • Durango offensive edge

    Durango's attack (67%) vs Aretxabaleta's defense (64%).

    +3

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aretxabaleta33
Durango67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aretxabaleta64
Durango36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aretxabaleta58
Durango25

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aretxabaleta44
Durango56

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aretxabaleta30
Durango30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aretxabaleta67
Durango33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aretxabaleta0
Durango0
Durangocold form