Goal expectancy
1.79Expected goals0.98
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Aris 6-1 Ethnikos Achna Prediction
Balanced — model leans Aris
Estimated win chances: Aris 56.4%, draw 23.1%, Ethnikos Achna 20.5%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
75Hot streakAris
Weighted momentum
Aris carries the sharper recent run (+33 momentum).
42MixedEthnikos Achna
Aris · compact defense · hot formEthnikos Achna · leaky defense
Aris
13W · 5D · 1LRecent →DWDWWDWWWWLWWWDDWWW
Momentum index
Ethnikos Achna
5W · 8D · 6LRecent →DLDWDWLDDWWDLLDDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAris +21
Aris
44 pts68% wins
13W · 5D · 1L · 19 played
For32
Against10
Ethnikos Achna
23 pts26% wins
5W · 8D · 6L · 19 played
For29
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aris offensive edge
Aris's attack (47%) vs Ethnikos Achna's defense (14%).
+33 - Ethnikos Achna offensive edge
Ethnikos Achna runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ariscompact defense · hot form
Ethnikos Achnaleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Aris29%
0Draws
5Ethnikos Achna71%