Goal expectancy
2.20Expected goals0.70
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Arkadag
Estimated win chances: Arkadag 71.7%, draw 17.9%, Nebitci 10.4%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
95Hot streakArkadag
Weighted momentum
Arkadag carries the sharper recent run (+51 momentum).
44MixedNebitci
Arkadag · compact defense · hot formNebitci · low scoring
Arkadag
10W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWWWWDWWWW
Momentum index
Nebitci
4W · 1D · 6LRecent →WLWDLLLWWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapArkadag +18
Arkadag
31 pts91% wins
10W · 1D · 0L · 11 played
For39
Against5
Nebitci
13 pts36% wins
4W · 1D · 6L · 11 played
For6
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Arkadag offensive edge
Arkadag's attack (89%) vs Nebitci's defense (33%).
+56 - Nebitci offensive edge
Nebitci runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-56
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Arkadagcompact defense · hot form
Nebitcilow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Arkadag50%
0Draws
5Nebitci50%