Arles 0-3 Laval Prediction

ArlesArles
0 — 3FT
LavalLaval

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Arles 37.8%, draw 27.4%, Laval 34.9%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.25Expected goals1.19

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

22Cold spellArles
Weighted momentum

Laval arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).

38Cold spellLaval
Arles · low scoring · cold formLaval · low scoring · cold form

Arles

3W · 4D · 6L
Recent →LLLLLDDWLWDDW
Momentum index

Laval

3W · 5D · 5L
Recent →WLDDDLWLLWLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLaval +1

Arles

13 pts
23% wins

3W · 4D · 6L · 13 played

For
12
Against
21
Goal diff -9

Laval

14 pts
23% wins

3W · 5D · 5L · 13 played

For
13
Against
16
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Arles offensive edge

    Arles faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -26
  • Laval offensive edge

    Laval's attack (56%) vs Arles's defense (30%).

    +26

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Arles44
Laval56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Arles30
Laval70

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Arles22
Laval38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Arles-2
Laval102

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Arles32
Laval30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Arles0
Laval100

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Arles50
Laval50
Arleslow scoring · cold form
Lavallow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

2Arles100%
0Draws
0Laval0%

Recent meetings