Goal expectancy
1.08Expected goals1.02
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
AS Cotonou 1-1 ASPAC Prediction
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: As Cotonou 36.6%, draw 29.9%, Aspac 33.5%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellAs Cotonou
Weighted momentum
Aspac arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
47MixedAspac
As Cotonou · low scoring · cold formAspac · Structured / conservative
As Cotonou
3W · 1D · 6LRecent →LLLWLLDWLW
Momentum index
Aspac
2W · 6D · 2LRecent →DWWDDDLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAspac +2
As Cotonou
10 pts30% wins
3W · 1D · 6L · 10 played
For9
Against11
Aspac
12 pts20% wins
2W · 6D · 2L · 10 played
For9
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- As Cotonou offensive edge
As Cotonou faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-45 - Aspac offensive edge
Aspac's attack (78%) vs As Cotonou's defense (33%).
+45
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
As Cotonoulow scoring · cold form
AspacStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1As Cotonou17%
3Draws
2Aspac33%