AS Roma 2-0 Chievo Prediction

AS RomaAS Roma
2 — 0FT
ChievoChievo

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans As Roma

Estimated win chances: As Roma 45.5%, draw 27.4%, Chievo 27%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.36Expected goals0.98

From 16 and 16 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 2–09.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

54BuildingAs Roma
Weighted momentum

As Roma carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).

42MixedChievo
Chievo · low scoring

As Roma

7W · 3D · 6L
Recent →WWDLLWWLLWLWWDDL
Momentum index

Chievo

5W · 5D · 6L
Recent →DWLDLWWLLLDDWWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAs Roma +4

As Roma

24 pts
44% wins

7W · 3D · 6L · 16 played

For
21
Against
19
Goal diff +2

Chievo

20 pts
31% wins

5W · 5D · 6L · 16 played

For
13
Against
18
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • As Roma offensive edge

    As Roma's attack (67%) vs Chievo's defense (54%).

    +13
  • Chievo offensive edge

    Chievo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

As Roma67
Chievo33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

As Roma46
Chievo54

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

As Roma54
Chievo42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

As Roma76
Chievo24

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

As Roma30
Chievo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

As Roma58
Chievo42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

As Roma80
Chievo20
Chievolow scoring